Sampling and counting contingency tables with arbitrary margins

What OpenAI claims

For nonnegative integer matrices with prescribed row and column sums, gives exact uniform sampling in expected polynomial bit time and almost-uniform sampling in worst-case polynomial bit time. The dimensions and binary-encoded margins are unrestricted. Also gives a fully polynomial randomized approximation scheme for counting such tables with arbitrary individual cell bounds, including structural zeros, with polynomial cost on every execution. (Lean)

Papers (2)

1. Exact Uniform Sampling of Contingency Tables with Arbitrary Margins

   24 September 2026 · Preprint, not peer reviewed · PDF

   We give an exact uniform sampler for nonnegative integer contingency tables with arbitrary prescribed margins. It terminates almost surely and has expected bit complexity polynomial in both dimensions and the binary length of the margins. No positivity, balance, sparsity, or fixed-dimension assumption is required.

2. An FPRAS for Cell-Bounded Contingency Tables

   24 September 2026 · Preprint, not peer reviewed · PDF

   We give a fully polynomial randomized approximation scheme for counting nonnegative integer matrices with prescribed row sums, column sums, and individual entry bounds. Both dimensions vary, all numerical data are encoded in binary, and zero bounds are allowed. The algorithm uses only unbiased random bits and has a polynomial bound on its bit operations on every execution.

Status

Preprint. The papers have not been independently reviewed. Treat the result as OpenAI's claim until other mathematicians have checked it. If a video exists, it illustrates the statement; it is not the proof.